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countries with a declining population

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People of China It fell for the first time in more than six decadesAccording to figures released Tuesday.

But she is not the only one.

Many countries – especially in Europe and Asia – will see their populations decline in the coming decades, if the predictions for the year 2100 published by the United Nations last July prove correct. In other cases, the population has already declined.

The population is already declining

Eight countries with populations over 10 million have experienced population decline over the past decade. Most of them are Europeans.

Besides Ukraine, whose population has shrunk due to the Russian invasion, the number of people in Italy, Portugal, Poland, Romania and Greece is declining.

The reasons for these declines are many, some country-specific, but they all have low fertility rates in common, which means that women on average are having fewer children than before.

Fertility rates of 1.2 to 1.6 children per woman have been recorded in southern and eastern European countries, according to the World Bank. Fertility rate above 2 is necessary to maintain population stability.

Added to this phenomenon is the mass emigration to Poland, Romania and Greece, where more people go to live abroad than stay at home.

Outside of Europe, Japan is also experiencing a decline in its elderly population. This is largely due to the low fertility rate of 1.3 children per woman and low immigration.

Japan lost more than 3 million lives between 2011 and 2021.

The same goes for the Middle East. In Syria, its population has been devastated by more than a decade of bitter war, with millions of refugees fleeing to neighboring countries and beyond.

Nearly 606,000 men, women and children have been killed in the fighting, according to estimates by the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

Those who will fall tomorrow

China – currently the world’s most populous country – has worried for years about the impact of its aging population on the economy and society, but no population decline was expected for nearly a decade.

Revealing fewer people in China on Tuesday is expected to become a permanent trend, affecting the population for years to come.

China is expected to lose nearly half of its population by 2100, dropping from more than 1.4 billion to 771 million.

Russia, Germany, South Korea and Spain are poised to join this downward movement as their populations will begin to decline by 2030.

The population of Europe as a whole will begin to decline at the beginning of this decade.

But there are exceptions.

While the populations of Europeans, Americans, and Asians were expected to start declining by 2100, the number of people in Africa will continue to rise.

The African continent will grow from 1.4 billion people to 3.9 billion people by 2100. About 38% of the world’s population will live in Africa, compared to about 18% today.

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